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Red208
21752.1
131063.4
164071.6
Blue214
1023105.8
399638.3
233865.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1742070100300400500208214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.60.5
71.171.6
Auto1.9
Teleop69.6
End0.0
blue by 34.2
105.80.1
105.7105.8
Auto11.4
Teleop94.4
End0.0
Second
63.40.5
62.963.4
Auto9.8
Teleop53.6
End0.0
blue by 2.4
65.80.1
65.765.8
Auto0.9
Teleop64.9
End0.0
Third
217
#39
52.10.5
51.652.1
Auto1.4
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 13.8
3996
#25
38.30.1
38.338.3
Auto1.4
Teleop37.0
End0.0