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Red52
436419.2
516228.3
170129.8
Blue7
4118.5
93126.5
550541.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60900150200250527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#45
29.80.8
23.322.5
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
blue by 11.5
5505
#42
41.44.1
43.139.0
Auto1.3
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Second
5162
#22
28.30.8
20.619.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 1.7
931
#71
26.54.1
26.222.2
Auto1.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Third
4364
#58
19.20.8
23.422.6
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
41
#65
18.54.1
19.415.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.2
End0.0