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Qual 112015 Archimedes Division
Red30
171436.4
83634.8
420157.2
Blue119
108928.1
568750.3
540342.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812405015020025030119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#14
57.23.8
53.4→49.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.4
End0.0
red by 6.8
5687
#13
50.30.3
42.0→41.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop50.8
End0.0
Second
1714
#36
36.43.8
26.1→22.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.4
End0.0
blue by 6.3
5403
#18
42.70.3
37.0→36.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
Third
836
#21
34.83.8
26.0→22.3
Auto0.8
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 6.7
1089
#76
28.10.3
45.4→45.1
Auto0.8
Teleop27.3
End0.0