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Red128
521218.4
421343.4
4118.5
Blue101
171436.4
170020.2
170628.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57820100150200250300128101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#16
43.43.3
35.538.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
red by 7.0
1714
#36
36.41.0
35.236.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Second
41
#65
18.53.3
16.219.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 10.1
1706
#60
28.71.0
27.128.1
Auto1.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
5212
#46
18.43.3
11.214.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1700
#67
20.21.0
18.919.9
Auto0.8
Teleop19.3
End0.0