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Red128
550541.4
569226.9
310327.4
Blue242
20737.0
557134.6
23477.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77138050100150200128242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#42
41.41.9
37.239.1
Auto1.3
Teleop40.0
End0.0
blue by 36.1
234
#3
77.55.5
73.078.5
Auto6.2
Teleop71.3
End0.0
Second
3103
#68
27.41.9
26.328.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 9.6
207
#12
37.05.5
31.136.6
Auto0.1
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Third
5692
#41
26.91.9
26.228.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 7.7
5571
#32
34.65.5
28.734.2
Auto0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0