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Red161
433436.2
332245.4
13569.4
Blue192
323834.3
164830.8
164071.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011150100200250161192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#2
69.40.6
69.069.6
Auto1.9
Teleop67.5
End0.0
blue by 2.2
71.63.5
66.469.9
Auto1.9
Teleop69.6
End0.0
Second
3322
#31
45.40.6
43.343.9
Auto0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 11.2
3238
#59
34.33.5
31.935.4
Auto0.0
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
4334
#19
36.20.6
36.837.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 5.4
1648
#23
30.83.5
23.427.0
Auto2.1
Teleop28.7
End0.0