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Red127
201342.5
157240.2
265533.8
Blue148
360248.6
62335.5
236347.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106120050150200250300350400127148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#38
42.50.8
39.840.6
Auto0.2
Teleop42.3
End0.0
blue by 6.1
3602
#20
48.61.3
46.848.1
Auto1.1
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Second
1572
#54
40.20.8
41.041.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.7
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2363
#43
47.31.3
44.946.2
Auto0.3
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Third
2655
#48
33.80.8
31.131.9
Auto0.8
Teleop33.0
End0.0
blue by 1.7
623
#44
35.51.3
30.331.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0