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Red169
504852.9
540342.7
290744.4
Blue213
297458.2
421343.4
445148.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129126100120140160180200169213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#15
52.91.8
49.751.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2974
#11
58.24.1
51.655.7
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Second
2907
#40
44.41.8
44.246.0
Auto0.2
Teleop44.2
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4451
#28
48.54.1
40.644.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Third
5403
#18
42.71.8
39.341.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4213
#16
43.44.1
38.842.9
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0