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Red77
28045.2
566718.4
550541.4
Blue184
553619.0
261948.6
233865.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212705015020025077184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
280
#50
45.21.6
47.645.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0
blue by 20.6
65.82.8
63.466.2
Auto0.9
Teleop64.9
End0.0
Second
5505
#42
41.41.6
39.137.5
Auto1.3
Teleop40.0
End0.0
blue by 7.2
2619
#27
48.62.8
46.949.7
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Third
5667
#62
18.41.6
22.821.2
Auto0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5536
#33
19.02.8
17.720.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.7
End0.0