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Red104
10828.8
238352.7
291426.1
Blue112
521218.4
170129.8
11521.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107500150200104112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#24
52.70.1
50.951.0
Auto8.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0
red by 22.9
1701
#45
29.82.6
25.728.2
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
108
#61
28.80.1
26.826.9
Auto0.1
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 7.1
115
#56
21.72.6
20.523.1
Auto0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
2914
#29
26.10.1
24.024.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 7.7
5212
#46
18.42.6
14.517.0
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0