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Red138
521218.4
20128.9
233865.8
Blue160
164071.6
516228.3
360248.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100148050200250300138160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.81.3
66.267.6
Auto0.9
Teleop64.9
End0.0
blue by 5.8
71.60.7
69.970.6
Auto1.9
Teleop69.6
End0.0
Second
201
#34
28.91.3
27.829.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
blue by 19.7
3602
#20
48.60.7
48.148.8
Auto1.1
Teleop47.5
End0.0
Third
5212
#46
18.41.3
17.018.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 9.9
5162
#22
28.30.7
27.528.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.3
End0.0