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Red92
421343.4
436419.2
5134.8
Blue98
261948.6
83634.8
323834.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891210501502002503009298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4213
#16
43.40.3
42.942.6
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2619
#27
48.61.1
49.748.6
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
51
#52
34.80.3
35.234.9
Auto0.6
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Level
836
#21
34.81.1
35.534.4
Auto0.8
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Third
4364
#58
19.20.3
19.519.2
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 15.1
3238
#59
34.31.1
35.434.3
Auto0.0
Teleop34.2
End0.0