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Red146
284832.9
332245.4
420157.2
Blue64
290744.4
222012.8
157240.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136925015020014664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#14
57.20.6
57.057.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.4
End0.0
red by 12.8
2907
#40
44.41.6
46.044.4
Auto0.2
Teleop44.2
End0.0
Second
3322
#31
45.40.6
43.944.5
Auto0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 5.3
1572
#54
40.21.6
41.840.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.7
End0.0
Third
2848
#26
32.90.6
32.633.2
Auto0.4
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 20.1
2220
#69
12.81.6
14.412.8
Auto0.4
Teleop12.4
End0.0