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Red86
4118.5
557134.6
12226.2
Blue117
18834.4
327816.9
297458.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6910805015020025086117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5571
#32
34.60.4
34.234.6
Auto0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 23.6
2974
#11
58.20.6
55.756.3
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
Second
122
#53
26.20.4
25.826.2
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 8.2
188
#47
34.40.6
33.734.2
Auto0.2
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
41
#65
18.50.4
18.218.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 1.7
3278
#55
16.90.6
16.316.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0