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Red46
401018.3
164830.8
12226.2
Blue82
284832.9
553619.0
21752.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489801502004682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#23
30.80.6
23.723.1
Auto2.1
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 21.3
217
#39
52.10.6
56.155.5
Auto1.4
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Second
122
#53
26.20.6
18.017.4
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 6.6
2848
#26
32.90.6
28.427.9
Auto0.4
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Third
4010
#70
18.30.6
16.215.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5536
#33
19.00.6
9.08.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.7
End0.0