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Red28
399638.3
445148.5
164071.6
Blue76
31469.2
69111.5
291426.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167960501502002503002876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.66.7
69.562.8
Auto1.9
Teleop69.6
End0.0
red by 2.4
314
#17
69.21.8
75.974.2
Auto0.2
Teleop69.0
End0.0
Second
4451
#28
48.56.7
46.740.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.9
End0.0
red by 22.4
2914
#29
26.11.8
20.719.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
3996
#25
38.37.4
45.838.4
Auto1.4
Teleop37.0
End0.0
red by 26.8
691
#75
11.51.8
14.412.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0