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Red164
433436.2
20737.0
234259.9
Blue126
553619.0
20128.9
445148.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124520100150200164126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.92.4
59.361.7
Auto10.5
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 11.4
4451
#28
48.53.1
40.043.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Second
207
#12
37.02.4
27.029.4
Auto0.1
Teleop36.9
End0.0
red by 8.1
201
#34
28.93.1
16.719.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Third
4334
#19
36.22.4
30.432.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 17.2
5536
#33
19.03.1
8.211.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.7
End0.0