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Qual 472015 Archimedes Division
Red180
504852.9
433436.2
516228.3
Blue154
132235.7
566718.4
11521.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10065050150200180154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#15
52.94.1
44.2→48.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 17.1
1322
#51
35.74.1
38.8→42.9
Auto0.9
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
4334
#19
36.24.1
32.8→36.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 14.5
115
#56
21.74.1
15.8→19.8
Auto0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
5162
#22
28.34.1
21.4→25.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 9.9
5667
#62
18.44.1
18.2→22.3
Auto0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0