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Red89
297458.2
12226.2
569226.9
Blue100
5134.8
521218.4
399638.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986405015089100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#11
58.20.1
53.052.9
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
red by 19.9
3996
#25
38.31.7
36.638.3
Auto1.4
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
5692
#41
26.90.1
24.824.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 7.9
51
#52
34.81.7
33.835.5
Auto0.6
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
122
#53
26.20.1
18.818.7
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 7.8
5212
#46
18.41.7
1.73.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0