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Red116
83634.8
521218.4
265533.8
Blue73
37824.6
497721.4
550541.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4393015020011673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#21
34.83.2
24.227.4
Auto0.8
Teleop34.0
End0.0
blue by 6.5
5505
#42
41.40.8
33.532.7
Auto1.3
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Second
2655
#48
33.83.2
25.428.6
Auto0.8
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 9.2
378
#72
24.60.8
32.331.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Third
5212
#46
18.43.2
3.46.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4977
#64
21.40.8
22.922.2
Auto0.4
Teleop21.0
End0.0