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Red114
170628.7
504852.9
332245.4
Blue18
401018.3
327816.9
108928.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12752010015020025011418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#15
52.90.3
48.348.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 24.7
1089
#76
28.12.4
36.333.9
Auto0.8
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
3322
#31
45.40.3
42.942.6
Auto0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
red by 27.1
4010
#70
18.32.4
10.48.0
Auto0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
1706
#60
28.70.3
28.528.2
Auto1.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 11.8
3278
#55
16.92.4
19.016.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0