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Red98
433436.2
540342.7
170020.2
Blue127
170129.8
5134.8
261948.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010305015020025098127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5403
#18
42.70.9
32.933.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
blue by 5.8
2619
#27
48.61.5
45.346.7
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
4334
#19
36.20.9
36.937.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 1.4
51
#52
34.81.5
35.537.0
Auto0.6
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
1700
#67
20.20.9
17.218.0
Auto0.8
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 9.7
1701
#45
29.81.5
22.624.1
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0