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Red155
164830.8
23477.5
569226.9
Blue144
238352.7
20128.9
69111.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12470050100150200155144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#3
77.51.8
73.174.8
Auto6.2
Teleop71.3
End0.0
red by 24.7
2383
#24
52.73.2
51.955.0
Auto8.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0
Second
1648
#23
30.81.8
22.223.9
Auto2.1
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
201
#34
28.93.2
21.224.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Third
5692
#41
26.91.8
24.726.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 15.4
691
#75
11.53.2
7.911.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.9
End0.0