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Red164
178536.2
157240.2
131063.4
Blue122
399638.3
557134.6
516228.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11680050100150200164122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.42.5
51.253.6
Auto9.8
Teleop53.6
End0.0
red by 25.0
3996
#25
38.31.7
38.340.0
Auto1.4
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
1572
#54
40.22.5
37.339.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.7
End0.0
red by 5.6
5571
#32
34.61.7
24.826.4
Auto0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Third
1785
#37
36.22.5
25.928.4
Auto0.0
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 7.9
5162
#22
28.31.7
25.527.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.3
End0.0