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Red74
170129.8
445148.5
157240.2
Blue96
164071.6
327816.9
28045.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971330501502002507496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#28
48.51.6
42.741.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.9
End0.0
blue by 23.1
71.61.8
65.763.9
Auto1.9
Teleop69.6
End0.0
Second
1572
#54
40.21.6
39.838.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.7
End0.0
blue by 5.0
280
#50
45.21.8
49.547.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.4
End0.0
Third
1701
#45
29.81.6
24.122.5
Auto0.4
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 13.0
3278
#55
16.91.8
16.614.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0