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Red81
170020.2
201342.5
566718.4
Blue149
20737.0
569226.9
420157.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7111105015020025081149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#38
42.50.0
38.638.6
Auto0.2
Teleop42.3
End0.0
blue by 14.6
4201
#14
57.22.0
52.854.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.4
End0.0
Second
1700
#67
20.20.1
18.018.1
Auto0.8
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 16.8
207
#12
37.02.0
29.231.2
Auto0.1
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Third
5667
#62
18.40.1
23.423.5
Auto0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
blue by 8.5
5692
#41
26.92.0
26.528.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0