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Red194
153867.9
291426.1
83634.8
Blue115
4118.5
328434.5
433436.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10979050100150194115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.94.3
62.967.1
Auto0.2
Teleop67.7
End0.0
red by 31.8
4334
#19
36.21.4
37.739.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Second
836
#21
34.84.3
27.431.6
Auto0.8
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
3284
#66
34.51.4
36.437.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
2914
#29
26.14.3
18.022.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 7.6
41
#65
18.51.4
12.914.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.2
End0.0