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Red140
265533.8
290744.4
20128.9
Blue74
54648.8
327816.9
261948.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976405015020014074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#40
44.42.2
42.444.6
Auto0.2
Teleop44.2
End0.0
blue by 4.2
2619
#27
48.60.1
48.748.8
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
2655
#48
33.82.2
30.833.0
Auto0.8
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 16.9
3278
#55
16.90.1
14.814.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
201
#34
28.92.2
22.024.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
red by 20.1
5464
#73
8.80.1
7.98.1
Auto0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0