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Red61
10828.8
37824.6
323834.3
Blue66
445148.5
566718.4
108928.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869902003004006166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#59
34.31.2
33.232.0
Auto0.0
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 14.2
4451
#28
48.51.7
41.139.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Second
108
#61
28.81.2
26.425.2
Auto0.1
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 0.6
1089
#76
28.11.7
35.934.1
Auto0.8
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
378
#72
24.61.2
31.730.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 6.2
5667
#62
18.41.7
23.521.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0