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Red188
504852.9
164071.6
85749.4
Blue192
420157.2
1023105.8
553619.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491660100200300400188192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.61.5
63.965.4
Auto1.9
Teleop69.6
End0.0
blue by 34.2
105.81.1
99.1100.3
Auto11.4
Teleop94.4
End0.0
Second
5048
#15
52.91.5
47.749.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
blue by 4.3
4201
#14
57.21.1
54.856.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop57.4
End0.0
Third
857
#8
49.41.5
45.847.4
Auto0.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 30.4
5536
#33
19.01.1
15.216.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.7
End0.0