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Red100
557134.6
21752.1
170628.7
Blue36
62335.5
436419.2
433436.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113835010015010036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#39
52.10.6
56.455.7
Auto1.4
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 15.9
4334
#19
36.22.8
39.136.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Second
5571
#32
34.60.6
28.127.5
Auto0.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
blue by 0.9
623
#44
35.52.8
32.830.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Third
1706
#60
28.70.6
27.727.1
Auto1.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 9.5
4364
#58
19.22.8
19.116.3
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0