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Red234
31469.2
550541.4
131063.4
Blue200
153867.9
171436.4
20128.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15811150200250234200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#17
69.23.9
69.072.9
Auto0.2
Teleop69.0
End0.0
red by 1.2
67.93.9
67.171.0
Auto0.2
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
63.43.9
53.657.5
Auto9.8
Teleop53.6
End0.0
red by 27.0
1714
#36
36.43.9
31.335.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Third
5505
#42
41.43.9
33.337.2
Auto1.3
Teleop40.0
End0.0
red by 12.4
201
#34
28.93.9
24.228.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0