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Red80
323834.3
12226.2
93126.5
Blue84
290744.4
310327.4
11521.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77910501502002503008084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#59
34.30.1
32.031.9
Auto0.0
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 10.1
2907
#40
44.40.4
44.644.2
Auto0.2
Teleop44.2
End0.0
Second
931
#71
26.50.1
25.625.5
Auto1.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3103
#68
27.40.4
26.726.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
122
#53
26.20.1
24.124.1
Auto0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 4.6
115
#56
21.70.4
20.920.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0