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Red106
1633.8
238637.4
384720.5
Blue80
120925.5
361631.4
93122.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917505015020010680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.4
37.537.9
Auto0.7
Teleop36.7
End0.0
red by 6.0
31.40.0
31.731.7
Auto0.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
16
#13
33.80.4
33.934.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 8.3
1209
#11
25.50.0
25.825.8
Auto1.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
3847
#31
20.50.4
20.621.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 1.6
931
#27
22.10.0
22.422.4
Auto1.6
Teleop20.5
End0.0