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Red144
452237.9
120836.8
220024.2
Blue70
328427.3
239524.7
450024.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967205015020014470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.91.0
36.937.9
Auto0.6
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 10.6
3284
#15
27.30.2
27.727.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
36.81.0
35.836.8
Auto0.9
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 12.1
4500
#16
24.80.2
25.225.0
Auto1.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
2200
#23
24.21.0
23.224.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 0.6
2395
#12
24.70.2
25.125.0
Auto0.7
Teleop24.0
End0.0