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Red70
198642.5
433029.3
425623.7
Blue89
173228.3
170633.7
297222.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87800501001502002507089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#10
42.50.4
40.440.0
Auto3.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 8.8
33.70.1
33.633.7
Auto1.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
29.30.4
27.226.8
Auto1.5
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 1.0
1732
#17
28.30.1
28.128.2
Auto0.9
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
4256
#19
23.70.4
21.621.2
Auto1.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 1.3
2972
#32
22.40.1
22.322.4
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0