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Red100
173228.3
220024.2
198642.5
Blue21
384720.5
40113.4
31609.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions933805015020010021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#10
42.50.8
39.640.4
Auto3.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
red by 22.0
3847
#31
20.51.4
22.020.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
1732
#17
28.30.8
27.328.1
Auto0.9
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 14.9
401
#41
13.41.4
14.813.4
Auto1.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
2200
#23
24.20.8
21.021.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 14.6
3160
#46
9.61.4
11.09.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0