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Qual 102015 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red75
120925.5
173228.3
50407.8
Blue78
555110.7
393728.1
238637.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060801001201401607578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#17
28.32.7
23.4→26.1
Auto0.9
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 9.1
2386
#4
37.42.3
17.8→20.1
Auto0.7
Teleop36.7
End0.0
Second
1209
#11
25.52.7
11.6→14.3
Auto1.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3937
#14
28.12.3
22.7→25.0
Auto0.9
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
5040
#49
7.82.7
7.4→10.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 2.9
5551
#37
10.72.3
9.8→12.1
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0