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Red64
170633.7
204017.2
572113.1
Blue114
47456.3
120836.8
93122.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3846010015064114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.9
21.123.0
Auto1.1
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 3.1
36.85.7
20.926.6
Auto0.9
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
2040
#22
17.21.9
12.914.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 4.8
931
#27
22.15.7
18.524.1
Auto1.6
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
5721
#44
13.11.9
6.98.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 6.8
4745
#48
6.35.7
6.712.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop7.1
End0.0