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Red118
248161.4
556812.6
421317.6
Blue96
425623.7
93520.3
433029.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4446020608010012014011896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.46.0
24.930.9
Auto6.2
Teleop55.2
End0.0
red by 32.1
29.34.1
9.413.5
Auto1.5
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Second
4213
#39
17.66.0
11.617.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4256
#19
23.74.1
20.224.2
Auto1.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
5568
#35
12.66.0
9.815.8
Auto0.8
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 7.8
935
#30
20.34.1
17.721.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.5
End0.0