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Red33
421317.6
393119.5
204017.2
Blue91
555110.7
41822.9
198642.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455101001502002503391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#24
19.51.2
14.913.7
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 23.0
1986
#10
42.53.3
27.230.4
Auto3.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Second
4213
#39
17.61.2
17.616.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 5.3
418
#18
22.93.3
12.715.9
Auto1.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
2040
#22
17.21.2
14.813.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 6.5
5551
#37
10.73.3
12.115.4
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0