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Red28
452237.9
110810.7
1633.8
Blue34
120925.5
277319.2
425623.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674901001502834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.2
29.327.1
Auto0.6
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 12.4
1209
#11
25.51.6
16.715.1
Auto1.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
16
#13
33.82.2
24.822.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 10.1
4256
#19
23.71.6
26.925.3
Auto1.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
1108
#45
10.72.2
12.710.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 8.4
2773
#29
19.21.6
10.18.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0