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Red28
450024.8
572113.1
333712.2
Blue6
421317.6
40113.4
543720.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29460100150286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#16
24.80.1
15.815.9
Auto1.1
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 4.8
5437
#26
20.03.2
12.99.7
Auto1.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
5721
#44
13.10.1
9.29.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
4213
#39
17.63.2
16.413.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
3337
#42
12.20.1
7.57.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 1.2
401
#41
13.43.2
15.612.3
Auto1.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0