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Red43
47456.3
328427.3
425623.7
Blue38
43299.5
317919.0
393728.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63350501001504338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#15
27.31.5
24.623.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 0.8
3937
#14
28.10.2
26.126.0
Auto0.9
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
4256
#19
23.71.5
25.323.8
Auto1.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 4.7
3179
#20
19.00.2
8.68.4
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
4745
#48
6.31.5
10.79.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 3.2
4329
#47
9.50.2
5.55.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0