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Red81
162519.0
433029.3
361631.4
Blue100
198642.5
178519.9
239524.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6256010015081100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.41.5
22.023.5
Auto0.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
blue by 11.1
1986
#10
42.53.4
32.135.6
Auto3.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Second
29.31.5
18.520.0
Auto1.5
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 4.6
2395
#12
24.73.4
16.720.2
Auto0.7
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
1625
#52
19.01.5
22.724.1
Auto2.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 0.9
1785
#28
19.93.4
9.713.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.1
End0.0