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Red52
484912.0
421317.6
238637.4
Blue34
393119.5
31609.6
393728.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465801001505234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.2
28.728.9
Auto0.7
Teleop36.7
End0.0
red by 9.2
3937
#14
28.12.0
26.023.9
Auto0.9
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
4213
#39
17.60.2
13.513.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3931
#24
19.52.0
17.215.1
Auto0.5
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
4849
#34
12.00.2
7.67.8
Auto0.8
Teleop11.2
End0.0
red by 2.4
3160
#46
9.62.0
15.313.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0