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Red44
500621.5
41822.9
50407.8
Blue36
545412.8
361631.4
572113.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533302040801001201401604436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#18
22.90.6
18.117.4
Auto1.3
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 8.4
31.40.1
23.523.4
Auto0.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
5006
#21
21.50.6
23.122.5
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 8.4
5721
#44
13.10.1
7.17.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
5040
#49
7.80.6
10.49.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 5.0
5454
#38
12.80.1
6.46.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0