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Red86
500621.5
198642.5
31609.6
Blue173
1633.8
317919.0
248161.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647805010015020086173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#10
42.51.5
32.834.3
Auto3.5
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 18.9
61.47.8
44.652.5
Auto6.2
Teleop55.2
End0.0
Second
5006
#21
21.51.5
22.523.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 12.3
16
#13
33.87.8
26.434.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
3160
#46
9.61.5
13.314.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 9.5
3179
#20
19.07.8
7.915.7
Auto0.4
Teleop18.6
End0.0