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Red62
44908.5
425623.7
361631.4
Blue33
43299.5
306112.8
40904.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6318040801001201401606233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.3
23.423.7
Auto0.0
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 18.6
3061
#50
12.80.6
13.213.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Second
4256
#19
23.70.3
25.625.9
Auto1.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 14.2
4329
#47
9.50.6
7.17.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
4490
#43
8.50.3
8.89.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 3.7
4090
#54
4.70.6
5.46.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.8
End0.0