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Red27
40113.4
333712.2
173228.3
Blue40
545412.8
452237.9
47456.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6040020801001201401602740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#17
28.32.7
31.829.1
Auto0.9
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 9.6
37.90.4
30.730.3
Auto0.6
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
401
#41
13.42.7
17.614.9
Auto1.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 0.6
5454
#38
12.80.4
6.35.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
3337
#42
12.22.7
9.77.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
red by 5.9
4745
#48
6.30.4
7.87.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop7.1
End0.0